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EUR Europe Friendlies · Trận đấu ·

Leganes vs Merida

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score2–13.27 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng55%
Hòa25%
Đội khách thắng20%
Market-based forecastChủ nhà thắngTier B · 55% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng55% selection probability
Projected score2–1LeganesMerida
Expected goals3.27Mở match profile
Goals 2.5Tài63% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn65% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
55% / 25% / 20%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Merida win (20%)Cơ hội kép1X80%1.25
Tài 63% · Xỉu 37%Goals 2.5Tài63%1.59
Có 65% · Không 35%Cả hai đội ghi bàn65%1.54
3.27 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–1
7.9 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKhông có
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Leganes win55%1.821.6255.4%
Hòa25%4.003.5025.7%
Merida win20%5.004.7518.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Leganes1.99

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 60.9%

Total expected goals3.27Mở

Dedicated goals model: Tài 63% · Xỉu 37%

Merida1.28

Khách share of expected goals 39.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 65% · Không 35%Match profileMở
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Leganes

0.60pts / match
Số trận5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Điểm3

SignalChủ nhà clean sheets: 2/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Merida

1.25pts / match
Số trận4Wins1Drawn2Losses1Điểm5

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Thắng probability excluding draw
20%
3
Points from supplied form
5
1.99
Expected goals
1.28
LeganesMerida
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Leganes signalChủ nhà clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Merida signalChủ nhà unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Leganes vs Merida FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Leganes thắng 55%,Hòa 25%,Merida thắng 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · Tài 2.5 63% · Current selection Tài