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EUR Europe Friendlies · Match ·

AD Ceuta vs Malaga

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–23.24 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger29%
Oavgjort25%
Bortaseger46%
Market-based forecastBortasegerTier B · 46% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger46% selection probability
Projected score2–2AD CeutaMalaga
Expected goals3.24Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över63% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
29% / 25% / 46%MatchresultatBortaseger46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Dubbelchans1275.1%1.33
Över 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Över63%1.59
Ja 65% · Nej 35%Båda lagen gör målJa65%1.54
3.24 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
8.6 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AD Ceuta win29%3.453.2527.7%
Oavgjort25%4.003.6025%
Malaga win46%2.171.9047.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Ceuta1.51

Hemma share of expected goals 46.6%

Total expected goals3.24Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 63% · Under 37%

Malaga1.73

Borta share of expected goals 53.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 65% · Nej 35%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

AD Ceuta

1.00pts / match
Spelade3Wins1Drawn0Losses2Poäng3

SignalBorta unbeaten 2/2

Borta-context · form sequence

Malaga

2.00pts / match
Spelade2Wins1Drawn1Losses0Poäng4

SignalNej recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
46%
3
Points from supplied form
4
1.51
Expected goals
1.73
AD CeutaMalaga
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Ceuta signalBorta unbeaten 2/2

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Malaga signalNej recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

AD Ceuta vs Malaga FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 2–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Ceuta vunnen 29%,Oavgjort 25%,Malaga vunnen 46%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · Över 2.5 63% · Current selection Över