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EUR Europe Friendlies · Wedstrijd ·

AD Ceuta vs Malaga

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–23.25 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst33%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst42%
Market-based forecastUitwinstTier B · 42% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst42% selection probability
Projected score2–2AD CeutaMalaga
Expected goals3.25Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven63% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
33% / 26% / 42%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)Dubbele Kans1274.5%1.34
Boven 63% · Onder 37%Goals 2.5Boven63%1.59
Ja 65% · Nee 35%Beide teams scorenJa65%1.54
3.25 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
8.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AD Ceuta win33%3.032.8831.3%
Gelijkspel26%3.853.5025.8%
Malaga win42%2.382.1042.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Ceuta1.58

Thuis share of expected goals 48.6%

Total expected goals3.25Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 63% · Onder 37%

Malaga1.67

Uit share of expected goals 51.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 65% · Nee 35%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

AD Ceuta

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld3Wins1Drawn0Losses2Punten3

SignalUit unbeaten 2/2

Uit-context · form sequence

Malaga

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld2Wins1Drawn1Losses0Punten4

SignalNee recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
42%
3
Points from supplied form
4
1.58
Expected goals
1.67
AD CeutaMalaga
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Ceuta signalUit unbeaten 2/2

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Malaga signalNee recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

AD Ceuta vs Malaga FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 2–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Ceuta gewonnen 33%,Gelijkspel 26%,Malaga gewonnen 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.25 · Boven 2.5 63% · Current selection Boven