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EUR Europe Friendlies · Wedstrijd ·

Hercules vs CD Castellon

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–23.24 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst34%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst40%
Market-based forecastUitwinstTier B · 40% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst40% selection probability
Projected score2–2HerculesCD Castellon
Expected goals3.24Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven62% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
34% / 26% / 40%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Dubbele Kans1273.9%1.35
Boven 62% · Onder 38%Goals 2.5Boven62%1.61
Ja 65% · Nee 35%Beide teams scorenJa65%1.54
3.24 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
8.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Hercules win34%2.942.7532.7%
Gelijkspel26%3.853.4026.4%
CD Castellon win40%2.502.2040.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hercules1.60

Thuis share of expected goals 49.4%

Total expected goals3.24Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 62% · Onder 38%

CD Castellon1.64

Uit share of expected goals 50.6%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 65% · Nee 35%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Hercules

1.33pts / match
Gespeeld3Wins1Drawn1Losses1Punten4

SignalUit unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

CD Castellon

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalUit matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
40%
4
Points from supplied form
10
1.60
Expected goals
1.64
HerculesCD Castellon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hercules signalUit unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Castellon signalUit matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Hercules vs CD Castellon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hercules gewonnen 34%,Gelijkspel 26%,CD Castellon gewonnen 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · Boven 2.5 62% · Current selection Boven