Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
40% / 32% / 28%Match resultHome win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sertanense win (28.2%)Double chance1X71.8%1.39
Over 41% · Under 59%Goals 2.5Under59%1.69
Yes 49% · No 51%Both teams scoreNo51%1.96
2.34 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AD Nogueirense win40%2.502.3039.1%—
Draw32%3.132.7532.7%—
Sertanense win28%3.573.2028.1%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 55.6%
Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 41% · Under 59%
Away share of expected goals 44.4%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 49% · No 51%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.00pts / matchAD Nogueirense
Played0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0
SignalNo recent signal
Away-context · form sequence
0.00pts / matchSertanense
L
Played1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Points0
SignalNo recent signal
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
40%
Win probability excluding draw
28%0
Points from supplied form
01.30
Expected goals
1.04AD NogueirenseSertanense
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 32%.
Match questions
AD Nogueirense vs Sertanense FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
AD Nogueirense win 40%，Draw 32%，Sertanense win 28%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.34 · Over 2.5 41% · Current selection Under。