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PRT ポルトガル 国内選手権 · 試合 ·

AD Nogueirense vs セルタネンセ

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.34 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利40%
引き分け32%
アウェイ勝利28%
Market-based forecastホーム勝利Tier B · 40% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利40% selection probability
Projected score1–1AD Nogueirenseセルタネンセ
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー59% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
40% / 32% / 28%試合結果ホーム勝利40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes セルタネンセ win (28.2%)ダブルチャンス1X71.8%1.39
オーバー 41% · アンダー 59%Goals 2.5アンダー59%1.69
はい 49% · いいえ 51%両チーム得点いいえ51%1.96
2.34 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.2 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimなし
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AD Nogueirense win40%2.502.3039.1%
引き分け32%3.132.7532.7%
セルタネンセ win28%3.573.2028.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Nogueirense1.30

ホーム share of expected goals 55.6%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 41% · アンダー 59%

セルタネンセ1.04

アウェイ share of expected goals 44.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 49% · いいえ 51%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

AD Nogueirense

0.00pts / match
試合数0Wins0Drawn0Losses0ポイント0

Signalいいえ recent signal

アウェイ-context · form sequence

セルタネンセ

0.00pts / match
試合数1Wins0Drawn0Losses1ポイント0

Signalいいえ recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
勝ち probability excluding draw
28%
0
Points from supplied form
0
1.30
Expected goals
1.04
AD Nogueirenseセルタネンセ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Nogueirense signalいいえ recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02セルタネンセ signalいいえ recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

AD Nogueirense vs セルタネンセ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Nogueirense 勝ち 40%,引き分け 32%,セルタネンセ 勝ち 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · オーバー 2.5 41% · Current selection アンダー