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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Partido ·

AD Nogueirense vs Sertanense FC

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.34 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local40%
Empate32%
Victoria visitante28%
Market-based forecastVictoria localTier B · 40% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local40% selection probability
Projected score1–1AD NogueirenseSertanense FC
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de59% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
40% / 32% / 28%Resultado del partidoVictoria local40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sertanense FC win (28.2%)Doble Oportunidad1X71.8%1.39
Más de 41% · Menos de 59%Goals 2.5Menos de59%1.69
Sí 49% · No 51%Ambos equipos marcanNo51%1.96
2.34 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.2 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNinguno
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AD Nogueirense win40%2.502.3039.1%
Empate32%3.132.7532.7%
Sertanense FC win28%3.573.2028.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Nogueirense1.30

Local share of expected goals 55.6%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 41% · Menos de 59%

Sertanense FC1.04

Visitante share of expected goals 44.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 49% · No 51%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

AD Nogueirense

0.00pts / match
Jugados0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Puntos0

SignalNo recent signal

Visitante-context · form sequence

Sertanense FC

0.00pts / match
Jugados1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Puntos0

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Ganado probability excluding draw
28%
0
Points from supplied form
0
1.30
Expected goals
1.04
AD NogueirenseSertanense FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Nogueirense signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sertanense FC signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

AD Nogueirense vs Sertanense FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Nogueirense ganada 40%,Empate 32%,Sertanense FC ganada 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Más de 2.5 41% · Current selection Menos de