Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
44% / 29% / 27%Resultado del partidoVictoria local44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UD da Serra win (27.2%)Doble Oportunidad1X72.8%1.37
Más de 34% · Menos de 66%Goals 2.5Menos de66%1.52
Sí 41% · No 59%Ambos equipos marcanNo59%1.69
2.08 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1——
9.0 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapUD da Serra winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Naval 1893 win44%2.272.0543.6%+0.4 pp
Empate29%3.453.1028.9%+0.1 pp
UD da Serra win27%3.703.2527.5%-0.5 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Local share of expected goals 60.1%
Total expected goals2.08Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Más de 34% · Menos de 66%
Visitante share of expected goals 39.9%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitSí 41% · No 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Local-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchNaval 1893
WDWWW
Jugados5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puntos13
SignalLocal unbeaten 5/5
Visitante-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchUD da Serra
LWLDW
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7
SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
44%
Ganado probability excluding draw
27%13
Points from supplied form
71.25
Expected goals
0.83Naval 1893UD da Serra
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Naval 1893 vs UD da Serra FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Naval 1893 ganada 44%，Empate 29%，UD da Serra ganada 27%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.08 · Más de 2.5 34% · Current selection Menos de。