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PRT Portugal Campeonato Nacional · Trận đấu ·

Naval 1893 vs UD da Serra

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–12.08 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng44%
Hòa29%
Đội khách thắng27%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Naval 1893UD da Serra
Expected goals2.08Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu66% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
44% / 29% / 27%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UD da Serra win (27.2%)Cơ hội kép1X72.8%1.37
Tài 34% · Xỉu 66%Goals 2.5Xỉu66%1.52
Có 41% · Không 59%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông59%1.69
2.08 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–1
9.0 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapUD da Serra winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Naval 1893 win44%2.272.0543.6%+0.4 pp
Hòa29%3.453.1028.9%+0.1 pp
UD da Serra win27%3.703.2527.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Naval 18931.25

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 60.1%

Total expected goals2.08Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Tài 34% · Xỉu 66%

UD da Serra0.83

Khách share of expected goals 39.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 41% · Không 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Naval 1893

2.60pts / match
Số trận5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Điểm13

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 5/5

Khách-context · form sequence

UD da Serra

1.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Điểm7

SignalChủ nhà matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Thắng probability excluding draw
27%
13
Points from supplied form
7
1.25
Expected goals
0.83
Naval 1893UD da Serra
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Naval 1893 signalChủ nhà unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UD da Serra signalChủ nhà matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Naval 1893 vs UD da Serra FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Naval 1893 thắng 44%,Hòa 29%,UD da Serra thắng 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.08 · Tài 2.5 34% · Current selection Xỉu