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PRT Португалия - Национальный чемпионат · Матч ·

Naval 1893 vs УД да Серра

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.08 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев44%
Ничья29%
Победа гостей27%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Naval 1893УД да Серра
Expected goals2.08Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше66% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
44% / 29% / 27%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes УД да Серра win (27.2%)Двойной шанс1X72.8%1.37
Больше 34% · Меньше 66%Goals 2.5Меньше66%1.52
Да 41% · Нет 59%Обе забьютНет59%1.69
2.08 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.0 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapУД да Серра winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Naval 1893 win44%2.272.0543.6%+0.4 pp
Ничья29%3.453.1028.9%+0.1 pp
УД да Серра win27%3.703.2527.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Naval 18931.25

Хозяева share of expected goals 60.1%

Total expected goals2.08Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 34% · Меньше 66%

УД да Серра0.83

Гости share of expected goals 39.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 41% · Нет 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Naval 1893

2.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Баллы13

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

УД да Серра

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
27%
13
Points from supplied form
7
1.25
Expected goals
0.83
Naval 1893УД да Серра
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Naval 1893 signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02УД да Серра signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Naval 1893 vs УД да Серра FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Naval 1893 выигрыш 44%,Ничья 29%,УД да Серра выигрыш 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.08 · ТБ 2.5 34% · Current selection Меньше