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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Partido ·

Oliveira Hospital vs Benfica Castelo Branco

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.00 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local61%
Empate25%
Victoria visitante14%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local61% selection probability
Projected score1–1Oliveira HospitalBenfica Castelo Branco
Expected goals2.00Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de68% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
61% / 25% / 14%Resultado del partidoVictoria local61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Benfica Castelo Branco win (14%)Doble Oportunidad1X86%1.16
Más de 32% · Menos de 68%Goals 2.5Menos de68%1.47
Sí 35% · No 65%Ambos equipos marcanNo65%1.54
2.00 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapOliveira Hospital winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Oliveira Hospital win61%1.641.4462.1%-1.1 pp
Empate25%4.003.7024.2%+0.8 pp
Benfica Castelo Branco win14%7.146.5013.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Oliveira Hospital1.38

Local share of expected goals 69%

Total expected goals2.00Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 32% · Menos de 68%

Benfica Castelo Branco0.62

Visitante share of expected goals 31%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 35% · No 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Oliveira Hospital

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Benfica Castelo Branco

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalVisitante clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Ganado probability excluding draw
14%
5
Points from supplied form
5
1.38
Expected goals
0.62
Oliveira HospitalBenfica Castelo Branco
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Oliveira Hospital signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Benfica Castelo Branco signalVisitante clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Oliveira Hospital vs Benfica Castelo Branco FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Oliveira Hospital ganada 61%,Empate 25%,Benfica Castelo Branco ganada 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.00 · Más de 2.5 32% · Current selection Menos de