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PRT Portugalsko - Campeonato Nacional · Zápas ·

Oliveira Hospital vs Benfica Castelo Branco

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score1–12.00 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích61%
Remíza25%
Výhra hostů14%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích61% selection probability
Projected score1–1Oliveira HospitalBenfica Castelo Branco
Expected goals2.00Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Méně68% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
61% / 25% / 14%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Benfica Castelo Branco win (14%)Dvojitá šance1X86%1.16
Více 32% · Méně 68%Goals 2.5Méně68%1.47
Ano 35% · Ne 65%Oba týmy skórujíNe65%1.54
2.00 total expected goalsPřesné skóre1–1
8.7 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapOliveira Hospital winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Oliveira Hospital win61%1.641.4462.1%-1.1 pp
Remíza25%4.003.7024.2%+0.8 pp
Benfica Castelo Branco win14%7.146.5013.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Oliveira Hospital1.38

Domácí share of expected goals 69%

Total expected goals2.00Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Více 32% · Méně 68%

Benfica Castelo Branco0.62

Hosté share of expected goals 31%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitAno 35% · Ne 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Oliveira Hospital

1.00pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Body5

SignalDomácí clean sheets: 2/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Benfica Castelo Branco

1.00pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Body5

SignalHosté clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Výhra probability excluding draw
14%
5
Points from supplied form
5
1.38
Expected goals
0.62
Oliveira HospitalBenfica Castelo Branco
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Oliveira Hospital signalDomácí clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Benfica Castelo Branco signalHosté clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Oliveira Hospital vs Benfica Castelo Branco FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 1–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Oliveira Hospital výhra 61%,Remíza 25%,Benfica Castelo Branco výhra 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.00 · Více 2.5 32% · Current selection Méně