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PRT Португалия - Кампеонато Насионал · Мач ·

Оливейра Хоспитал vs Бенфика Кастело Бранко

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.00 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина61%
Равен25%
Победа за госта14%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина61% selection probability
Projected score1–1Оливейра ХоспиталБенфика Кастело Бранко
Expected goals2.00Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под68% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
61% / 25% / 14%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Бенфика Кастело Бранко win (14%)Двоен шанс1X86%1.16
Над 32% · Под 68%Goals 2.5Под68%1.47
Да 35% · Не 65%И двата отбора да отбележатНе65%1.54
2.00 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
8.7 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapОливейра Хоспитал winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Оливейра Хоспитал win61%1.641.4462.1%-1.1 pp
Равен25%4.003.7024.2%+0.8 pp
Бенфика Кастело Бранко win14%7.146.5013.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Оливейра Хоспитал1.38

Домакин share of expected goals 69%

Total expected goals2.00Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 32% · Под 68%

Бенфика Кастело Бранко0.62

Гост share of expected goals 31%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 35% · Не 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Оливейра Хоспитал

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Бенфика Кастело Бранко

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalГост clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
14%
5
Points from supplied form
5
1.38
Expected goals
0.62
Оливейра ХоспиталБенфика Кастело Бранко
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Оливейра Хоспитал signalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Бенфика Кастело Бранко signalГост clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Оливейра Хоспитал vs Бенфика Кастело Бранко FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Оливейра Хоспитал печеливш 61%,Равен 25%,Бенфика Кастело Бранко печеливш 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.00 · Над 2.5 32% · Current selection Под