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PRT Португалия - Кампеонато Насионал · Мач ·

О Елвас vs Фатима

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина43%
Равен29%
Победа за госта28%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина43% selection probability
Projected score1–1О ЕлвасФатима
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под63% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
43% / 29% / 28%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Фатима win (28.1%)Двоен шанс1X71.9%1.39
Над 37% · Под 63%Goals 2.5Под63%1.59
Да 45% · Не 55%И двата отбора да отбележатНе55%1.82
2.19 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.2 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapО Елвас winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
О Елвас win43%2.332.0543.8%-0.8 pp
Равен29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
Фатима win28%3.573.3027.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

О Елвас1.02

Домакин share of expected goals 46.6%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 37% · Под 63%

Фатима1.17

Гост share of expected goals 53.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 45% · Не 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

О Елвас

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Точки6

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Фатима

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
28%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.02
Expected goals
1.17
О ЕлвасФатима
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01О Елвас signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Фатима signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

О Елвас vs Фатима FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

О Елвас печеливш 43%,Равен 29%,Фатима печеливш 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Над 2.5 37% · Current selection Под