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PRT Portugalsko - Campeonato Nacional · Zápas ·

O Elvas vs Fatima

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích43%
Remíza29%
Výhra hostů28%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích43% selection probability
Projected score1–1O ElvasFatima
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Méně63% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
43% / 29% / 28%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fatima win (28.1%)Dvojitá šance1X71.9%1.39
Více 37% · Méně 63%Goals 2.5Méně63%1.59
Ano 45% · Ne 55%Oba týmy skórujíNe55%1.82
2.19 total expected goalsPřesné skóre1–1
9.2 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapO Elvas winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
O Elvas win43%2.332.0543.8%-0.8 pp
Remíza29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
Fatima win28%3.573.3027.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

O Elvas1.02

Domácí share of expected goals 46.6%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Více 37% · Méně 63%

Fatima1.17

Hosté share of expected goals 53.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitAno 45% · Ne 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

O Elvas

1.20pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Body6

SignalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Fatima

1.40pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalDomácí matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Výhra probability excluding draw
28%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.02
Expected goals
1.17
O ElvasFatima
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01O Elvas signalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fatima signalDomácí matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

O Elvas vs Fatima FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

O Elvas výhra 43%,Remíza 29%,Fatima výhra 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Více 2.5 37% · Current selection Méně