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PRT Πορτογαλία - Καμπεονάτο Νασιονάλ · Αγώνας ·

Ο Έλβας vs Φατιμά

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου43%
Ισοπαλία29%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου28%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ο ΈλβαςΦατιμά
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω63% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
43% / 29% / 28%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Φατιμά win (28.1%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X71.9%1.39
Άνω 37% · Κάτω 63%Goals 2.5Κάτω63%1.59
Ναι 45% · Όχι 55%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι55%1.82
2.19 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
9.2 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapΟ Έλβας winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ο Έλβας win43%2.332.0543.8%-0.8 pp
Ισοπαλία29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
Φατιμά win28%3.573.3027.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ο Έλβας1.02

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 46.6%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 37% · Κάτω 63%

Φατιμά1.17

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 53.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 45% · Όχι 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Ο Έλβας

1.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Πόντοι6

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Φατιμά

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
28%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.02
Expected goals
1.17
Ο ΈλβαςΦατιμά
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ο Έλβας signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Φατιμά signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Ο Έλβας vs Φατιμά FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ο Έλβας νίκη 43%,Ισοπαλία 29%,Φατιμά νίκη 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Άνω 2.5 37% · Current selection Κάτω