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PRT Portugalsko - Campeonato Nacional · Zápas ·

O Elvas vs Fatima

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich43%
Remíza29%
Výhra hostí28%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich43% selection probability
Projected score1–1O ElvasFatima
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menej63% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
43% / 29% / 28%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fatima win (28.1%)Dvojitá šanca1X71.9%1.39
Viac 37% · Menej 63%Goals 2.5Menej63%1.59
Áno 45% · Nie 55%Oba tímy skórujúNie55%1.82
2.19 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–1
9.2 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapO Elvas winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
O Elvas win43%2.332.0543.8%-0.8 pp
Remíza29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
Fatima win28%3.573.3027.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

O Elvas1.02

Domáci share of expected goals 46.6%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Viac 37% · Menej 63%

Fatima1.17

Hostia share of expected goals 53.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitÁno 45% · Nie 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

O Elvas

1.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Body6

SignalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Fatima

1.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalDomáci matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Výhra probability excluding draw
28%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.02
Expected goals
1.17
O ElvasFatima
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01O Elvas signalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fatima signalDomáci matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

O Elvas vs Fatima FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

O Elvas výhra 43%,Remíza 29%,Fatima výhra 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Viac 2.5 37% · Current selection Menej