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PRT ポルトガル 国内選手権 · 試合 ·

OエルバスCAD vs ファティマ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利43%
引き分け29%
アウェイ勝利28%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利43% selection probability
Projected score1–1OエルバスCADファティマ
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー63% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
43% / 29% / 28%試合結果ホーム勝利43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ファティマ win (28.1%)ダブルチャンス1X71.9%1.39
オーバー 37% · アンダー 63%Goals 2.5アンダー63%1.59
はい 45% · いいえ 55%両チーム得点いいえ55%1.82
2.19 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.2 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapOエルバスCAD winDifference-0.8 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
OエルバスCAD win43%2.332.0543.8%-0.8 pp
引き分け29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
ファティマ win28%3.573.3027.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

OエルバスCAD1.02

ホーム share of expected goals 46.6%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 37% · アンダー 63%

ファティマ1.17

アウェイ share of expected goals 53.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 45% · いいえ 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

OエルバスCAD

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn3Losses1ポイント6

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ファティマ

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
勝ち probability excluding draw
28%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.02
Expected goals
1.17
OエルバスCADファティマ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01OエルバスCAD signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ファティマ signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

OエルバスCAD vs ファティマ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

OエルバスCAD 勝ち 43%,引き分け 29%,ファティマ 勝ち 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · オーバー 2.5 37% · Current selection アンダー