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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Match ·

O Elvas vs Fatima

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger43%
Oavgjort29%
Bortaseger28%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger43% selection probability
Projected score1–1O ElvasFatima
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under63% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
43% / 29% / 28%MatchresultatHemmaseger43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fatima win (28.1%)Dubbelchans1X71.9%1.39
Över 37% · Under 63%Goals 2.5Under63%1.59
Ja 45% · Nej 55%Båda lagen gör målNej55%1.82
2.19 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.2 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapO Elvas winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
O Elvas win43%2.332.0543.8%-0.8 pp
Oavgjort29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
Fatima win28%3.573.3027.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

O Elvas1.02

Hemma share of expected goals 46.6%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 37% · Under 63%

Fatima1.17

Borta share of expected goals 53.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nej 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

O Elvas

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Poäng6

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Fatima

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
28%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.02
Expected goals
1.17
O ElvasFatima
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01O Elvas signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fatima signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

O Elvas vs Fatima FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

O Elvas vunnen 43%,Oavgjort 29%,Fatima vunnen 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Över 2.5 37% · Current selection Under