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PRT 葡萄牙Campeonato Nacional · 比賽 ·

伊維斯 vs 法蒂瑪

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝43%
29%
客勝28%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝43% selection probability
Projected score1–1伊維斯法蒂瑪
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.563% for the selected side
雙方進球55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
43% / 29% / 28%比賽結果主勝43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 法蒂瑪 win (28.1%)雙重機會1X71.9%1.39
大 37% · 小 63%Goals 2.563%1.59
是 45% · 否 55%雙方進球55%1.82
2.19 total expected goals正確比分1–1
9.2 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gap伊維斯 winDifference-0.8 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
伊維斯 win43%2.332.0543.8%-0.8 pp
29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
法蒂瑪 win28%3.573.3027.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

伊維斯1.02

主隊 share of expected goals 46.6%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 37% · 63%

法蒂瑪1.17

客隊 share of expected goals 53.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 45% · 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

伊維斯

1.20pts / match
5Wins1Drawn3Losses1積分6

Signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

法蒂瑪

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
贏 probability excluding draw
28%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.02
Expected goals
1.17
伊維斯法蒂瑪
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01伊維斯 signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02法蒂瑪 signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

伊維斯 vs 法蒂瑪 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

伊維斯 43%, 29%,法蒂瑪 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · 大2.5 37% · Current selection