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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Match ·

Oliveira Hospital vs Benfica Castelo Branco

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.00 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile61%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur14%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile61% selection probability
Projected score1–1Oliveira HospitalBenfica Castelo Branco
Expected goals2.00Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de68% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
61% / 25% / 14%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Benfica Castelo Branco win (14%)Double chance1X86%1.16
Plus de 32% · Moins de 68%Goals 2.5Moins de68%1.47
Oui 35% · Non 65%Les deux équipes marquentNon65%1.54
2.00 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapOliveira Hospital winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Oliveira Hospital win61%1.641.4462.1%-1.1 pp
Nul25%4.003.7024.2%+0.8 pp
Benfica Castelo Branco win14%7.146.5013.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Oliveira Hospital1.38

Domicile share of expected goals 69%

Total expected goals2.00Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 32% · Moins de 68%

Benfica Castelo Branco0.62

Extérieur share of expected goals 31%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 35% · Non 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Oliveira Hospital

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Benfica Castelo Branco

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalExtérieur clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Gagné probability excluding draw
14%
5
Points from supplied form
5
1.38
Expected goals
0.62
Oliveira HospitalBenfica Castelo Branco
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Oliveira Hospital signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Benfica Castelo Branco signalExtérieur clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Oliveira Hospital vs Benfica Castelo Branco FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Oliveira Hospital victoire 61%,Nul 25%,Benfica Castelo Branco victoire 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.00 · Plus de 2.5 32% · Current selection Moins de