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PRT Portugalsko - Campeonato Nacional · Zápas ·

AD Nogueirense vs Sertanense

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score1–12.34 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích40%
Remíza32%
Výhra hostů28%
Market-based forecastVýhra domácíchTier B · 40% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích40% selection probability
Projected score1–1AD NogueirenseSertanense
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Méně59% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
40% / 32% / 28%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sertanense win (28.2%)Dvojitá šance1X71.8%1.39
Více 41% · Méně 59%Goals 2.5Méně59%1.69
Ano 49% · Ne 51%Oba týmy skórujíNe51%1.96
2.34 total expected goalsPřesné skóre1–1
9.2 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimŽádné
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AD Nogueirense win40%2.502.3039.1%
Remíza32%3.132.7532.7%
Sertanense win28%3.573.2028.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Nogueirense1.30

Domácí share of expected goals 55.6%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Více 41% · Méně 59%

Sertanense1.04

Hosté share of expected goals 44.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitAno 49% · Ne 51%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

AD Nogueirense

0.00pts / match
Odehráno0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Body0

SignalNe recent signal

Hosté-context · form sequence

Sertanense

0.00pts / match
Odehráno1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Body0

SignalNe recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Výhra probability excluding draw
28%
0
Points from supplied form
0
1.30
Expected goals
1.04
AD NogueirenseSertanense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Nogueirense signalNe recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sertanense signalNe recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

AD Nogueirense vs Sertanense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Nogueirense výhra 40%,Remíza 32%,Sertanense výhra 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Více 2.5 41% · Current selection Méně