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PRT Portugalsko - Campeonato Nacional · Zápas ·

AD Nogueirense vs Sertanense

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–12.34 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich40%
Remíza32%
Výhra hostí28%
Market-based forecastVýhra domácichTier B · 40% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich40% selection probability
Projected score1–1AD NogueirenseSertanense
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menej59% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
40% / 32% / 28%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sertanense win (28.2%)Dvojitá šanca1X71.8%1.39
Viac 41% · Menej 59%Goals 2.5Menej59%1.69
Áno 49% · Nie 51%Oba tímy skórujúNie51%1.96
2.34 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–1
9.2 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimŽiadny
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AD Nogueirense win40%2.502.3039.1%
Remíza32%3.132.7532.7%
Sertanense win28%3.573.2028.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Nogueirense1.30

Domáci share of expected goals 55.6%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Viac 41% · Menej 59%

Sertanense1.04

Hostia share of expected goals 44.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitÁno 49% · Nie 51%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

AD Nogueirense

0.00pts / match
Odohrané0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Body0

SignalNie recent signal

Hostia-context · form sequence

Sertanense

0.00pts / match
Odohrané1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Body0

SignalNie recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Výhra probability excluding draw
28%
0
Points from supplied form
0
1.30
Expected goals
1.04
AD NogueirenseSertanense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Nogueirense signalNie recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sertanense signalNie recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

AD Nogueirense vs Sertanense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Nogueirense výhra 40%,Remíza 32%,Sertanense výhra 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Viac 2.5 41% · Current selection Menej