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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Kamp ·

AD Nogueirense vs Sertanense

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.34 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr40%
Uafgjort32%
Udesejr28%
Market-based forecastHjemmesejrTier B · 40% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr40% selection probability
Projected score1–1AD NogueirenseSertanense
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under59% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
40% / 32% / 28%KampresultatHjemmesejr40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sertanense win (28.2%)Dobbeltchance1X71.8%1.39
Over 41% · Under 59%Goals 2.5Under59%1.69
Ja 49% · Nej 51%Begge hold scorerNej51%1.96
2.34 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.2 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AD Nogueirense win40%2.502.3039.1%
Uafgjort32%3.132.7532.7%
Sertanense win28%3.573.2028.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Nogueirense1.30

Hjemme share of expected goals 55.6%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 41% · Under 59%

Sertanense1.04

Ude share of expected goals 44.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 49% · Nej 51%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

AD Nogueirense

0.00pts / match
Spillet0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Point0

SignalNej recent signal

Ude-context · form sequence

Sertanense

0.00pts / match
Spillet1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Point0

SignalNej recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Vundet probability excluding draw
28%
0
Points from supplied form
0
1.30
Expected goals
1.04
AD NogueirenseSertanense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Nogueirense signalNej recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sertanense signalNej recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

AD Nogueirense vs Sertanense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Nogueirense vundet 40%,Uafgjort 32%,Sertanense vundet 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Over 2.5 41% · Current selection Under