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PRT Portugália - Campeonato Nacional · Mérkőzés ·

AD Nogueirense vs Sertanense

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score1–12.34 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem40%
Döntetlen32%
Vendég győzelem28%
Market-based forecastHazai győzelemTier B · 40% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem40% selection probability
Projected score1–1AD NogueirenseSertanense
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt59% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
40% / 32% / 28%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sertanense win (28.2%)Dupla esély1X71.8%1.39
Felett 41% · Alatt 59%Goals 2.5Alatt59%1.69
Igen 49% · Nem 51%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem51%1.96
2.34 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–1
9.2 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNincs
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AD Nogueirense win40%2.502.3039.1%
Döntetlen32%3.132.7532.7%
Sertanense win28%3.573.2028.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Nogueirense1.30

Hazai share of expected goals 55.6%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Felett 41% · Alatt 59%

Sertanense1.04

Vendég share of expected goals 44.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitIgen 49% · Nem 51%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

AD Nogueirense

0.00pts / match
Lejátszott0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Pontok0

SignalNem recent signal

Vendég-context · form sequence

Sertanense

0.00pts / match
Lejátszott1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Pontok0

SignalNem recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Nyert probability excluding draw
28%
0
Points from supplied form
0
1.30
Expected goals
1.04
AD NogueirenseSertanense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Nogueirense signalNem recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sertanense signalNem recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

AD Nogueirense vs Sertanense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Nogueirense nyer 40%,Döntetlen 32%,Sertanense nyer 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · 2.5 felett 41% · Current selection Alatt