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PRT Portugal Campeonato Nacional · Trận đấu ·

AD Nogueirense vs Sertanense

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–12.34 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng40%
Hòa32%
Đội khách thắng28%
Market-based forecastChủ nhà thắngTier B · 40% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng40% selection probability
Projected score1–1AD NogueirenseSertanense
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu59% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
40% / 32% / 28%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sertanense win (28.2%)Cơ hội kép1X71.8%1.39
Tài 41% · Xỉu 59%Goals 2.5Xỉu59%1.69
Có 49% · Không 51%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông51%1.96
2.34 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–1
9.2 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKhông có
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AD Nogueirense win40%2.502.3039.1%
Hòa32%3.132.7532.7%
Sertanense win28%3.573.2028.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Nogueirense1.30

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 55.6%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Tài 41% · Xỉu 59%

Sertanense1.04

Khách share of expected goals 44.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 49% · Không 51%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

AD Nogueirense

0.00pts / match
Số trận0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Điểm0

SignalKhông recent signal

Khách-context · form sequence

Sertanense

0.00pts / match
Số trận1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Điểm0

SignalKhông recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Thắng probability excluding draw
28%
0
Points from supplied form
0
1.30
Expected goals
1.04
AD NogueirenseSertanense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Nogueirense signalKhông recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sertanense signalKhông recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

AD Nogueirense vs Sertanense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Nogueirense thắng 40%,Hòa 32%,Sertanense thắng 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Tài 2.5 41% · Current selection Xỉu