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PRT Portugal Campeonato Nacional · Fixture ·

Juventude de Evora vs Alcochetense

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–11.89 expected goals
Away form
Home win39%
Draw29%
Away win32%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Juventude de EvoraAlcochetense
Expected goals1.89Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under71% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
39% / 29% / 32%Match resultHome win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.3%)Double chance1270.7%1.41
Over 29% · Under 71%Goals 2.5Under71%1.41
Yes 38% · No 62%Both teams scoreNo62%1.61
1.89 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Juventude de Evora win39%2.562.3039%0.0 pp
Draw29%3.453.1028.9%+0.1 pp
Alcochetense win32%3.132.8032%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Juventude de Evora1.02

Home share of expected goals 54%

Total expected goals1.89Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 29% · Under 71%

Alcochetense0.87

Away share of expected goals 46%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 38% · No 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Juventude de Evora

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Alcochetense

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Win probability excluding draw
32%
11
Points from supplied form
10
1.02
Expected goals
0.87
Juventude de EvoraAlcochetense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Juventude de Evora signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alcochetense signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Juventude de Evora vs Alcochetense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Juventude de Evora win 39%,Draw 29%,Alcochetense win 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.89 · Over 2.5 29% · Current selection Under