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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Wedstrijd ·

Juventude de Evora vs Alcochetense

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–11.89 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst39%
Gelijkspel29%
Uitwinst32%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Juventude de EvoraAlcochetense
Expected goals1.89Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder71% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
39% / 29% / 32%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.3%)Dubbele Kans1270.7%1.41
Boven 29% · Onder 71%Goals 2.5Onder71%1.41
Ja 38% · Nee 62%Beide teams scorenNee62%1.61
1.89 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Juventude de Evora win39%2.562.3039%0.0 pp
Gelijkspel29%3.453.1028.9%+0.1 pp
Alcochetense win32%3.132.8032%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Juventude de Evora1.02

Thuis share of expected goals 54%

Total expected goals1.89Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 29% · Onder 71%

Alcochetense0.87

Uit share of expected goals 46%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 38% · Nee 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Juventude de Evora

2.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Alcochetense

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
32%
11
Points from supplied form
10
1.02
Expected goals
0.87
Juventude de EvoraAlcochetense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Juventude de Evora signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alcochetense signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Juventude de Evora vs Alcochetense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Juventude de Evora gewonnen 39%,Gelijkspel 29%,Alcochetense gewonnen 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.89 · Boven 2.5 29% · Current selection Onder