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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Wedstrijd ·

SC Mineiro Aljustrelense vs Lagoa

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.37 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst40%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst32%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 40% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst40% selection probability
Projected score1–1SC Mineiro AljustrelenseLagoa
Expected goals2.37Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder58% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
40% / 28% / 32%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)Dubbele Kans1272.4%1.38
Boven 42% · Onder 58%Goals 2.5Onder58%1.72
Ja 48% · Nee 52%Beide teams scorenNee52%1.92
2.37 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SC Mineiro Aljustrelense win40%2.502.2539.8%
Gelijkspel28%3.573.2527.6%
Lagoa win32%3.132.7532.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SC Mineiro Aljustrelense1.29

Thuis share of expected goals 54.4%

Total expected goals2.37Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 42% · Onder 58%

Lagoa1.08

Uit share of expected goals 45.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nee 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

SC Mineiro Aljustrelense

0.00pts / match
Gespeeld0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Punten0

SignalUit matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Lagoa

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalUit clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
32%
0
Points from supplied form
7
1.29
Expected goals
1.08
SC Mineiro AljustrelenseLagoa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SC Mineiro Aljustrelense signalUit matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lagoa signalUit clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

SC Mineiro Aljustrelense vs Lagoa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SC Mineiro Aljustrelense gewonnen 40%,Gelijkspel 28%,Lagoa gewonnen 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.37 · Boven 2.5 42% · Current selection Onder