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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Wedstrijd ·

Serpa vs Vitoria Setubal

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.34 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst33%
Gelijkspel30%
Uitwinst37%
Market-based forecastUitwinstTier B · 37% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst37% selection probability
Projected score1–1SerpaVitoria Setubal
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder59% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
33% / 30% / 37%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.9%)Dubbele Kans1270.1%1.43
Boven 41% · Onder 59%Goals 2.5Onder59%1.69
Ja 48% · Nee 52%Beide teams scorenNee52%1.92
2.34 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Serpa win33%3.032.8032.3%
Gelijkspel30%3.333.0030.1%
Vitoria Setubal win37%2.702.4037.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Serpa1.18

Thuis share of expected goals 50.4%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 41% · Onder 59%

Vitoria Setubal1.16

Uit share of expected goals 49.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nee 52%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Serpa

0.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Punten0

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Vitoria Setubal

0.00pts / match
Gespeeld0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Punten0

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
37%
0
Points from supplied form
0
1.18
Expected goals
1.16
SerpaVitoria Setubal
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Serpa signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vitoria Setubal signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Serpa vs Vitoria Setubal FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Serpa gewonnen 33%,Gelijkspel 30%,Vitoria Setubal gewonnen 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Boven 2.5 41% · Current selection Onder