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PRT Portogallo - Campeonato Nacional · Partita ·

Serpa vs Vitoria Setubal

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.34 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa33%
Pareggio30%
Vittoria ospite37%
Market-based forecastVittoria ospiteTier B · 37% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite37% selection probability
Projected score1–1SerpaVitoria Setubal
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto59% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
33% / 30% / 37%Esito partitaVittoria ospite37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.9%)Doppia Chance1270.1%1.43
Sopra 41% · Sotto 59%Goals 2.5Sotto59%1.69
Sì 48% · No 52%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo52%1.92
2.34 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Serpa win33%3.032.8032.3%
Pareggio30%3.333.0030.1%
Vitoria Setubal win37%2.702.4037.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Serpa1.18

Casa share of expected goals 50.4%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 41% · Sotto 59%

Vitoria Setubal1.16

Trasferta share of expected goals 49.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 48% · No 52%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Serpa

0.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Punti0

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Vitoria Setubal

0.00pts / match
Giocate0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Punti0

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Vinta probability excluding draw
37%
0
Points from supplied form
0
1.18
Expected goals
1.16
SerpaVitoria Setubal
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Serpa signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vitoria Setubal signalCasa failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Serpa vs Vitoria Setubal FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Serpa vinta 33%,Pareggio 30%,Vitoria Setubal vinta 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Sopra 2.5 41% · Current selection Sotto