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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Partida ·

Serpa vs Vitória de Setúbal

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.34 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa33%
Empate30%
Vitória visitante37%
Market-based forecastVitória visitanteTier B · 37% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante37% selection probability
Projected score1–1SerpaVitória de Setúbal
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo59% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
33% / 30% / 37%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.9%)Dupla Chance1270.1%1.43
Acima 41% · Abaixo 59%Goals 2.5Abaixo59%1.69
Sim 48% · Não 52%Ambas as equipes marcamNão52%1.92
2.34 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
9.3 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNenhum
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Serpa win33%3.032.8032.3%
Empate30%3.333.0030.1%
Vitória de Setúbal win37%2.702.4037.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Serpa1.18

Mandante share of expected goals 50.4%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 41% · Abaixo 59%

Vitória de Setúbal1.16

Visitante share of expected goals 49.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 48% · Não 52%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Serpa

0.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Pontos0

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Vitória de Setúbal

0.00pts / match
Jogos0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Pontos0

SignalMandante failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
37%
0
Points from supplied form
0
1.18
Expected goals
1.16
SerpaVitória de Setúbal
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Serpa signalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vitória de Setúbal signalMandante failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Serpa vs Vitória de Setúbal FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Serpa ganhou 33%,Empate 30%,Vitória de Setúbal ganhou 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Acima 2.5 41% · Current selection Abaixo