Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
45% / 29% / 26%Match resultHome win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CF Os Marialvas win (26.5%)Double chance1X73.5%1.36
Over 32% · Under 68%Goals 2.5Under68%1.47
Yes 40% · No 60%Both teams scoreNo60%1.67
1.97 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
8.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapMalveira winDifference-1.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Malveira win45%2.221.9546.2%-1.2 pp
Draw29%3.453.2028.1%+0.9 pp
CF Os Marialvas win26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 48.7%
Total expected goals1.97Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 32% · Under 68%
Away share of expected goals 51.3%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 40% · No 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchMalveira
LDLDL
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2
SignalHome failed to score: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchCF Os Marialvas
LLDWD
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalAway matches under 2.5: 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
45%
Win probability excluding draw
26%2
Points from supplied form
50.96
Expected goals
1.01MalveiraCF Os Marialvas
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Malveira vs CF Os Marialvas FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Malveira win 45%，Draw 29%，CF Os Marialvas win 26%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.97 · Over 2.5 32% · Current selection Under。