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PRT Португалия - Кампеонато Насионал · Мач ·

Malveira vs КФ Ос Мариалвас

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–11.97 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина45%
Равен29%
Победа за госта26%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина45% selection probability
Projected score1–1MalveiraКФ Ос Мариалвас
Expected goals1.97Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под68% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
45% / 29% / 26%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes КФ Ос Мариалвас win (26.5%)Двоен шанс1X73.5%1.36
Над 32% · Под 68%Goals 2.5Под68%1.47
Да 40% · Не 60%И двата отбора да отбележатНе60%1.67
1.97 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
8.6 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapMalveira winDifference-1.2 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Malveira win45%2.221.9546.2%-1.2 pp
Равен29%3.453.2028.1%+0.9 pp
КФ Ос Мариалвас win26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Malveira0.96

Домакин share of expected goals 48.7%

Total expected goals1.97Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 32% · Под 68%

КФ Ос Мариалвас1.01

Гост share of expected goals 51.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 40% · Не 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Malveira

0.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Точки2

SignalДомакин failed to score: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

КФ Ос Мариалвас

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalГост matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
26%
2
Points from supplied form
5
0.96
Expected goals
1.01
MalveiraКФ Ос Мариалвас
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Malveira signalДомакин failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02КФ Ос Мариалвас signalГост matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Malveira vs КФ Ос Мариалвас FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Malveira печеливш 45%,Равен 29%,КФ Ос Мариалвас печеливш 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.97 · Над 2.5 32% · Current selection Под