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PRT Portogallo - Campeonato Nacional · Partita ·

Malveira vs CF Os Marialvas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–11.97 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa45%
Pareggio29%
Vittoria ospite26%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa45% selection probability
Projected score1–1MalveiraCF Os Marialvas
Expected goals1.97Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto68% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
45% / 29% / 26%Esito partitaVittoria casa45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CF Os Marialvas win (26.5%)Doppia Chance1X73.5%1.36
Sopra 32% · Sotto 68%Goals 2.5Sotto68%1.47
Sì 40% · No 60%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo60%1.67
1.97 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
8.6 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapMalveira winDifference-1.2 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Malveira win45%2.221.9546.2%-1.2 pp
Pareggio29%3.453.2028.1%+0.9 pp
CF Os Marialvas win26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Malveira0.96

Casa share of expected goals 48.7%

Total expected goals1.97Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 32% · Sotto 68%

CF Os Marialvas1.01

Trasferta share of expected goals 51.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 40% · No 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Malveira

0.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punti2

SignalCasa failed to score: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

CF Os Marialvas

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalTrasferta matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Vinta probability excluding draw
26%
2
Points from supplied form
5
0.96
Expected goals
1.01
MalveiraCF Os Marialvas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Malveira signalCasa failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CF Os Marialvas signalTrasferta matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Malveira vs CF Os Marialvas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Malveira vinta 45%,Pareggio 29%,CF Os Marialvas vinta 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.97 · Sopra 2.5 32% · Current selection Sotto