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PRT Portugalia - Campeonato Nacional · Meci ·

Malveira vs CF Os Marialvas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–11.97 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde45%
Egal29%
Victorie oaspeți26%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde45% selection probability
Projected score1–1MalveiraCF Os Marialvas
Expected goals1.97Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub68% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
45% / 29% / 26%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CF Os Marialvas win (26.5%)Șansă dublă1X73.5%1.36
Peste 32% · Sub 68%Goals 2.5Sub68%1.47
Da 40% · Nu 60%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu60%1.67
1.97 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
8.6 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapMalveira winDifference-1.2 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Malveira win45%2.221.9546.2%-1.2 pp
Egal29%3.453.2028.1%+0.9 pp
CF Os Marialvas win26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Malveira0.96

Gazde share of expected goals 48.7%

Total expected goals1.97Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 32% · Sub 68%

CF Os Marialvas1.01

Oaspeți share of expected goals 51.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 40% · Nu 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Malveira

0.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puncte2

SignalGazde failed to score: 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

CF Os Marialvas

1.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puncte5

SignalOaspeți matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Câștig probability excluding draw
26%
2
Points from supplied form
5
0.96
Expected goals
1.01
MalveiraCF Os Marialvas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Malveira signalGazde failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CF Os Marialvas signalOaspeți matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Malveira vs CF Os Marialvas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Malveira câștig 45%,Egal 29%,CF Os Marialvas câștig 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.97 · Peste 2.5 32% · Current selection Sub