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PRT ポルトガル 国内選手権 · 試合 ·

マルベイラ vs CFオス・マリアルヴァ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–11.97 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利45%
引き分け29%
アウェイ勝利26%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利45% selection probability
Projected score1–1マルベイラCFオス・マリアルヴァ
Expected goals1.97Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー68% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
45% / 29% / 26%試合結果ホーム勝利45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CFオス・マリアルヴァ win (26.5%)ダブルチャンス1X73.5%1.36
オーバー 32% · アンダー 68%Goals 2.5アンダー68%1.47
はい 40% · いいえ 60%両チーム得点いいえ60%1.67
1.97 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
8.6 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapマルベイラ winDifference-1.2 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
マルベイラ win45%2.221.9546.2%-1.2 pp
引き分け29%3.453.2028.1%+0.9 pp
CFオス・マリアルヴァ win26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

マルベイラ0.96

ホーム share of expected goals 48.7%

Total expected goals1.97Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 32% · アンダー 68%

CFオス・マリアルヴァ1.01

アウェイ share of expected goals 51.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 40% · いいえ 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

マルベイラ

0.40pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn2Losses3ポイント2

Signalホーム failed to score: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

CFオス・マリアルヴァ

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalアウェイ matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
勝ち probability excluding draw
26%
2
Points from supplied form
5
0.96
Expected goals
1.01
マルベイラCFオス・マリアルヴァ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01マルベイラ signalホーム failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CFオス・マリアルヴァ signalアウェイ matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

マルベイラ vs CFオス・マリアルヴァ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

マルベイラ 勝ち 45%,引き分け 29%,CFオス・マリアルヴァ 勝ち 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.97 · オーバー 2.5 32% · Current selection アンダー