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PRT Portugal Campeonato Nacional · Trận đấu ·

Malveira vs CF Os Marialvas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–11.97 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng45%
Hòa29%
Đội khách thắng26%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng45% selection probability
Projected score1–1MalveiraCF Os Marialvas
Expected goals1.97Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu68% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
45% / 29% / 26%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CF Os Marialvas win (26.5%)Cơ hội kép1X73.5%1.36
Tài 32% · Xỉu 68%Goals 2.5Xỉu68%1.47
Có 40% · Không 60%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông60%1.67
1.97 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–1
8.6 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapMalveira winDifference-1.2 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Malveira win45%2.221.9546.2%-1.2 pp
Hòa29%3.453.2028.1%+0.9 pp
CF Os Marialvas win26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Malveira0.96

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 48.7%

Total expected goals1.97Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Tài 32% · Xỉu 68%

CF Os Marialvas1.01

Khách share of expected goals 51.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 40% · Không 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Malveira

0.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Điểm2

SignalChủ nhà failed to score: 3/5

Khách-context · form sequence

CF Os Marialvas

1.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Điểm5

SignalKhách matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Thắng probability excluding draw
26%
2
Points from supplied form
5
0.96
Expected goals
1.01
MalveiraCF Os Marialvas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Malveira signalChủ nhà failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CF Os Marialvas signalKhách matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Malveira vs CF Os Marialvas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Malveira thắng 45%,Hòa 29%,CF Os Marialvas thắng 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.97 · Tài 2.5 32% · Current selection Xỉu