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PRT Португалия - Национальный чемпионат · Матч ·

Малвейра vs Мариялвас

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–11.97 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев45%
Ничья29%
Победа гостей26%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев45% selection probability
Projected score1–1МалвейраМариялвас
Expected goals1.97Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше68% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
45% / 29% / 26%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Мариялвас win (26.5%)Двойной шанс1X73.5%1.36
Больше 32% · Меньше 68%Goals 2.5Меньше68%1.47
Да 40% · Нет 60%Обе забьютНет60%1.67
1.97 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
8.6 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapМалвейра winDifference-1.2 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Малвейра win45%2.221.9546.2%-1.2 pp
Ничья29%3.453.2028.1%+0.9 pp
Мариялвас win26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Малвейра0.96

Хозяева share of expected goals 48.7%

Total expected goals1.97Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 32% · Меньше 68%

Мариялвас1.01

Гости share of expected goals 51.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 40% · Нет 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Малвейра

0.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Баллы2

SignalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Мариялвас

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalГости matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
26%
2
Points from supplied form
5
0.96
Expected goals
1.01
МалвейраМариялвас
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Малвейра signalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Мариялвас signalГости matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Малвейра vs Мариялвас FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Малвейра выигрыш 45%,Ничья 29%,Мариялвас выигрыш 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.97 · ТБ 2.5 32% · Current selection Меньше