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PRT Πορτογαλία - Καμπεονάτο Νασιονάλ · Αγώνας ·

Malveira vs CF Os Μαριάλβας

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–11.97 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου45%
Ισοπαλία29%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου26%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου45% selection probability
Projected score1–1MalveiraCF Os Μαριάλβας
Expected goals1.97Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω68% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
45% / 29% / 26%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CF Os Μαριάλβας win (26.5%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X73.5%1.36
Άνω 32% · Κάτω 68%Goals 2.5Κάτω68%1.47
Ναι 40% · Όχι 60%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι60%1.67
1.97 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
8.6 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapMalveira winDifference-1.2 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Malveira win45%2.221.9546.2%-1.2 pp
Ισοπαλία29%3.453.2028.1%+0.9 pp
CF Os Μαριάλβας win26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Malveira0.96

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 48.7%

Total expected goals1.97Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 32% · Κάτω 68%

CF Os Μαριάλβας1.01

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 51.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 40% · Όχι 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Malveira

0.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Πόντοι2

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

CF Os Μαριάλβας

1.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Πόντοι5

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
26%
2
Points from supplied form
5
0.96
Expected goals
1.01
MalveiraCF Os Μαριάλβας
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Malveira signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CF Os Μαριάλβας signalΦιλοξενούμενος matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Malveira vs CF Os Μαριάλβας FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Malveira νίκη 45%,Ισοπαλία 29%,CF Os Μαριάλβας νίκη 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.97 · Άνω 2.5 32% · Current selection Κάτω