What is the Avondale (W) vs South Melbourne (W) prediction?

The prediction is Home win, with a projected score of 2–1 and a selected-call probability of 50%.

What are the Avondale (W) vs South Melbourne (W) 1X2 probabilities?

Avondale (W) win 50%, draw 25%, and South Melbourne (W) win 25%.

How many goals are expected in Avondale (W) vs South Melbourne (W)?

The displayed projection is 2.72 total expected goals, with Over 2.5 at 51%.

MatchFormula Find a match

UTC+8

INT Australia NPL Victoria Women · Fixture · Sat, Aug 8, 13:00

Avondale (W) vs South Melbourne (W)

Full model forecast，stats and analysis

Home form

Projected score2–12.72 expected goals

Away form

Home win50%

Draw25%

Away win25%

Full model forecastHome winTier A · 50% selection probability

Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win50% selection probability

Projected score2–1Avondale (W) — South Melbourne (W)

Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile

Goals 2.5Over51% for the selected side

Both teams scoreYes55% for the selected side

Expected corners8.2Under 9.5

Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds

50% / 25% / 25%Match resultHome win50%2.00

Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.1%)Double chance1274.9%1.34

Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96

Yes 55% · No 45%Both teams scoreYes55%1.82

2.72 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——

8.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——

Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapAvondale (W) winDifference0.0 pp

OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference

Avondale (W) win50%2.001.8050%0.0 pp

Draw25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp

South Melbourne (W) win25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Avondale (W)1.57

Home share of expected goals 57.7%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%

South Melbourne (W)1.15

Away share of expected goals 42.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 55% · No 45%Match profileBalanced

Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Avondale (W)

3.00pts / match

Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

South Melbourne (W)

1.00pts / match

Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook

50%

Win probability excluding draw

25%

Points from supplied form

1.57

Expected goals

1.15

Avondale (W)South Melbourne (W)

Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Avondale (W) signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02South Melbourne (W) signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions