Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
78% / 13% / 9%Match resultHome win78%1.28
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Melbourne City NPL (W) win (9%)Double chance1X91%1.10
Over 84% · Under 16%Goals 2.5Over84%1.19
Yes 67% · No 33%Both teams scoreYes67%1.49
4.64 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1——
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin9.8%Largest probability gapPreston Lions (W) winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Preston Lions (W) win78%1.281.1777.9%+0.1 pp
Draw13%7.697.0013%0.0 pp
Melbourne City NPL (W) win9%11.1110.009.1%-0.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 75%
Total expected goals4.64Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 84% · Under 16%
Away share of expected goals 25%
Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 67% · No 33%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchPreston Lions (W)
WLWDL
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.00pts / matchMelbourne City NPL (W)
LLLLL
Played5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
78%
Win probability excluding draw
9%7
Points from supplied form
03.48
Expected goals
1.16Preston Lions (W)Melbourne City NPL (W)
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 13%.
Match questions
Preston Lions (W) vs Melbourne City NPL (W) FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 78% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Preston Lions (W) win 78%，Draw 13%，Melbourne City NPL (W) win 9%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 4.64 · Over 2.5 84% · Current selection Over。