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INT Australia NPL Victoria Women · Fixture ·

Alamein FC (W) vs Boroondara Eagles (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.34 expected goals
Away form
Home win40%
Draw26%
Away win34%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Alamein FC (W)Boroondara Eagles (W)
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under59% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
40% / 26% / 34%Match resultHome win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)Double chance1274.3%1.35
Over 41% · Under 59%Goals 2.5Under59%1.69
Yes 48% · No 52%Both teams scoreNo52%1.92
2.34 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapAlamein FC (W) winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Alamein FC (W) win40%2.502.2040.6%-0.6 pp
Draw26%3.853.5025.5%+0.5 pp
Boroondara Eagles (W) win34%2.942.6333.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alamein FC (W)1.25

Home share of expected goals 53.4%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 41% · Under 59%

Boroondara Eagles (W)1.09

Away share of expected goals 46.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 48% · No 52%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Alamein FC (W)

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Boroondara Eagles (W)

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Win probability excluding draw
34%
8
Points from supplied form
9
1.25
Expected goals
1.09
Alamein FC (W)Boroondara Eagles (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alamein FC (W) signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Boroondara Eagles (W) signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Alamein FC (W) vs Boroondara Eagles (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alamein FC (W) win 40%,Draw 26%,Boroondara Eagles (W) win 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Over 2.5 41% · Current selection Under