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INT Australia NPL Victoria Women · Meci ·

Avondale (F) vs South Melbourne (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.74 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde55%
Egal24%
Victorie oaspeți21%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Avondale (F)South Melbourne (W)
Expected goals2.74Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste52% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa55% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
55% / 24% / 21%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes South Melbourne (W) win (21.1%)Șansă dublă1X78.9%1.27
Peste 52% · Sub 48%Goals 2.5Peste52%1.92
Da 55% · Nu 45%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa55%1.82
2.74 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
8.2 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapAvondale (F) winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Avondale (F) win55%1.821.6055.7%-0.7 pp
Egal24%4.173.7523.8%+0.2 pp
South Melbourne (W) win21%4.764.3320.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Avondale (F)1.58

Gazde share of expected goals 57.7%

Total expected goals2.74Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 52% · Sub 48%

South Melbourne (W)1.16

Oaspeți share of expected goals 42.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 55% · Nu 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Avondale (F)

3.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Puncte15

SignalGazde unbeaten 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

South Melbourne (W)

1.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puncte5

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Câștig probability excluding draw
21%
15
Points from supplied form
5
1.58
Expected goals
1.16
Avondale (F)South Melbourne (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Avondale (F) signalGazde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02South Melbourne (W) signalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Avondale (F) vs South Melbourne (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Avondale (F) câștig 55%,Egal 24%,South Melbourne (W) câștig 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.74 · Peste 2.5 52% · Current selection Peste