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INT Australia NPL Victoria Women · Mecz ·

Avondale (K) vs South Melbourne (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.74 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy55%
Remis24%
Wygrana gości21%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Avondale (K)South Melbourne (W)
Expected goals2.74Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej52% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak55% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
55% / 24% / 21%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes South Melbourne (W) win (21.1%)Podwójna szansa1X78.9%1.27
Powyżej 52% · Poniżej 48%Goals 2.5Powyżej52%1.92
Tak 55% · Nie 45%Obie drużyny strzeląTak55%1.82
2.74 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
8.2 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapAvondale (K) winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Avondale (K) win55%1.821.6055.7%-0.7 pp
Remis24%4.173.7523.8%+0.2 pp
South Melbourne (W) win21%4.764.3320.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Avondale (K)1.58

Gospodarze share of expected goals 57.7%

Total expected goals2.74Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 52% · Poniżej 48%

South Melbourne (W)1.16

Goście share of expected goals 42.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 55% · Nie 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Avondale (K)

3.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punkty15

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

South Melbourne (W)

1.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkty5

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
21%
15
Points from supplied form
5
1.58
Expected goals
1.16
Avondale (K)South Melbourne (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Avondale (K) signalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02South Melbourne (W) signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Avondale (K) vs South Melbourne (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Avondale (K) wygrana 55%,Remis 24%,South Melbourne (W) wygrana 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.74 · Powyżej 2.5 52% · Current selection Powyżej