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INT Австралия - НПЛ Виктория - Жени · Мач ·

Авондале (Ж) vs Саут Мелбърн (Ж)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.74 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина55%
Равен24%
Победа за госта21%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Авондале (Ж)Саут Мелбърн (Ж)
Expected goals2.74Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над52% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа55% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
55% / 24% / 21%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Саут Мелбърн (Ж) win (21.1%)Двоен шанс1X78.9%1.27
Над 52% · Под 48%Goals 2.5Над52%1.92
Да 55% · Не 45%И двата отбора да отбележатДа55%1.82
2.74 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
8.2 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapАвондале (Ж) winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Авондале (Ж) win55%1.821.6055.7%-0.7 pp
Равен24%4.173.7523.8%+0.2 pp
Саут Мелбърн (Ж) win21%4.764.3320.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Авондале (Ж)1.58

Домакин share of expected goals 57.7%

Total expected goals2.74Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 52% · Под 48%

Саут Мелбърн (Ж)1.16

Гост share of expected goals 42.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 55% · Не 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Авондале (Ж)

3.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Точки15

SignalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Саут Мелбърн (Ж)

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
21%
15
Points from supplied form
5
1.58
Expected goals
1.16
Авондале (Ж)Саут Мелбърн (Ж)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Авондале (Ж) signalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Саут Мелбърн (Ж) signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Авондале (Ж) vs Саут Мелбърн (Ж) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Авондале (Ж) печеливш 55%,Равен 24%,Саут Мелбърн (Ж) печеливш 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.74 · Над 2.5 52% · Current selection Над