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INT Australia NPL Victoria Women · Partida ·

Avondale (F) vs South Melbourne (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–12.72 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa50%
Empate25%
Vitória visitante25%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa50% selection probability
Projected score2–1Avondale (F)South Melbourne (W)
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Acima51% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim55% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
50% / 25% / 25%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.1%)Dupla Chance1274.9%1.34
Acima 51% · Abaixo 49%Goals 2.5Acima51%1.96
Sim 55% · Não 45%Ambas as equipes marcamSim55%1.82
2.72 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
8.2 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapAvondale (F) winDifference0.0 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Avondale (F) win50%2.001.8050%0.0 pp
Empate25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
South Melbourne (W) win25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Avondale (F)1.57

Mandante share of expected goals 57.7%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 51% · Abaixo 49%

South Melbourne (W)1.15

Visitante share of expected goals 42.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 55% · Não 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Avondale (F)

3.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Pontos15

SignalMandante unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

South Melbourne (W)

1.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontos5

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
25%
15
Points from supplied form
5
1.57
Expected goals
1.15
Avondale (F)South Melbourne (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Avondale (F) signalMandante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02South Melbourne (W) signalMandante matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Avondale (F) vs South Melbourne (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Avondale (F) ganhou 50%,Empate 25%,South Melbourne (W) ganhou 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · Acima 2.5 51% · Current selection Acima