Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
40% / 27% / 34%Match resultHome win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.6%)Double chance1273.4%1.36
Over 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Yes 47% · No 53%Both teams scoreNo53%1.89
2.53 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2——
8.8 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapNew Mexico United winDifference+2.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Monterey Bay FC win40%2.502.1541.7%-1.7 pp
Draw27%3.703.4026.3%+0.7 pp
New Mexico United win34%2.942.8032%+2.0 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 33.6%
Total expected goals2.53Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 46% · Under 54%
Away share of expected goals 66.4%
Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 47% · No 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.20pts / matchMonterey Bay FC
LLLLD
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchNew Mexico United
WWWWD
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
40%
Win probability excluding draw
34%1
Points from supplied form
130.85
Expected goals
1.68Monterey Bay FCNew Mexico United
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
Monterey Bay FC vs New Mexico United FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–2 · 40% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Monterey Bay FC win 40%，Draw 27%，New Mexico United win 34%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.53 · Over 2.5 46% · Current selection Under。