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USA USA USL Championship · Матч ·

Монтерей Бэй vs Нью-Мексико Юнайтед

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–22.53 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев40%
Ничья27%
Победа гостей34%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев40% selection probability
Projected score1–2Монтерей БэйНью-Мексико Юнайтед
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше54% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
40% / 27% / 34%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.6%)Двойной шанс1273.4%1.36
Больше 46% · Меньше 54%Goals 2.5Меньше54%1.85
Да 47% · Нет 53%Обе забьютНет53%1.89
2.53 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–2
8.8 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapНью-Мексико Юнайтед winDifference+2.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Монтерей Бэй win40%2.502.1541.7%-1.7 pp
Ничья27%3.703.4026.3%+0.7 pp
Нью-Мексико Юнайтед win34%2.942.8032%+2.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Монтерей Бэй0.85

Хозяева share of expected goals 33.6%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 46% · Меньше 54%

Нью-Мексико Юнайтед1.68

Гости share of expected goals 66.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 47% · Нет 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Монтерей Бэй

0.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Баллы1

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Нью-Мексико Юнайтед

2.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Баллы13

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
34%
1
Points from supplied form
13
0.85
Expected goals
1.68
Монтерей БэйНью-Мексико Юнайтед
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Монтерей Бэй signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Нью-Мексико Юнайтед signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Монтерей Бэй vs Нью-Мексико Юнайтед FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Монтерей Бэй выигрыш 40%,Ничья 27%,Нью-Мексико Юнайтед выигрыш 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · ТБ 2.5 46% · Current selection Меньше