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USA USA USL Championship · Мач ·

Монтерей Бей vs Ню Мексико Юнайтед

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–22.53 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина40%
Равен27%
Победа за госта34%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина40% selection probability
Projected score1–2Монтерей БейНю Мексико Юнайтед
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под54% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
40% / 27% / 34%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.6%)Двоен шанс1273.4%1.36
Над 46% · Под 54%Goals 2.5Под54%1.85
Да 47% · Не 53%И двата отбора да отбележатНе53%1.89
2.53 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–2
8.8 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapНю Мексико Юнайтед winDifference+2.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Монтерей Бей win40%2.502.1541.7%-1.7 pp
Равен27%3.703.4026.3%+0.7 pp
Ню Мексико Юнайтед win34%2.942.8032%+2.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Монтерей Бей0.85

Домакин share of expected goals 33.6%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 46% · Под 54%

Ню Мексико Юнайтед1.68

Гост share of expected goals 66.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 47% · Не 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Монтерей Бей

0.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Точки1

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Ню Мексико Юнайтед

2.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Точки13

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
34%
1
Points from supplied form
13
0.85
Expected goals
1.68
Монтерей БейНю Мексико Юнайтед
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Монтерей Бей signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ню Мексико Юнайтед signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Монтерей Бей vs Ню Мексико Юнайтед FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Монтерей Бей печеливш 40%,Равен 27%,Ню Мексико Юнайтед печеливш 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · Над 2.5 46% · Current selection Под